The week has started in the green, as the markets pull away from the post FTX contagion.
The global crypto market cap has increased by 1.76% in the last 24 hours at $869.73 Billion. The total crypto market volume over the last 24 hours was spotted at $35.19 Billion at the time of writing, increasing by 13.90%. The positive performance of leading cryptocurrencies drove today’s rally in the crypto market. Bitcoin and Ethereum were up 1.61% and 2.78% at $17,310.73 and $1,296.17, respectively, suggesting the bulls were gaining more power.
BTC and ETH’s performance suggests that the worst from FTX's collapse may be behind us. This recovery suggests that the height of the fear cycle has faded. Therefore, crypto investors may now focus on the improved macro backdrop and the risk reset in traditional markets.
One overlooked factor in this rise is the performance of the US Dollar and its index (DXY). As the dollar declines, it’s helped riskier assets such cryptos to keep their heads above very choppy waters for the moment.
In recent weeks, Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies appear to have decoupled from macroeconomic developments and traditional markets. This is interesting, as investors have been reassessing their commitment to the hawkish US Federal Reserve (Fed) trades in recent weeks and piling back into risk assets, except bitcoin. We can attribute this to an ongoing peak inflation narrative and the Fed Chairman hinting at more moderate interest rate hikes from December.
Today, investors will be monitoring US economic indicators including factory orders and the all-important ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI. Following the crypto market’s sensitivity to last week’s ISM Manufacturing PMI, we can expect more influence from the Non-Manufacturing PMI. Weak numbers may support a less hawkish Fed but would also fuel fears of a US economic recession.